Time To Wrap This Triple Crown Thing Up and Bet The Belmont

Featured, Sports and Bets — June 7, 2013 at 10:52 pm by

Lately the horses have been very, very good to us here at Charm City Wire.  Preakness weekend was a big success and we followed it up with a winning Saturday at Pimlico the next week.  On that particular afternoon we nailed three straight, including a $20 horse in A.P Cino, so it figures that some time soon we’ll come crashing back down to earth.  Hopefully, that proverbial re-entry into the earth’s atmosphere doesn’t happen for a while.  It would be sweet if we could keep it rolling tomorrow on Belmont day.

Unfortunately there will be no attempt at a Triple Crown this year as Oxbow ruined that run at glory  for Orb at the Preakness.  That Derby/Preakness split usually means a low hype Belmont but even within horseracing circles the hype in New York seems really low.  Maybe that’s because Orb wasn’t even close in the Preakness, or maybe it’s because Oxbow’s victory was run at such a slow time.  Every sport loves superstars and horseracing is no different, unfortunately one has yet to emerge in the Triple Crown series.  Perhaps Orb or Oxbow will step up Saturday and carry that moniker into the summer.

Belmont will be a rain soaked mess tomorrow, but hopefully the weather gets out of New York by late tonight.  Either way we anticipate a sloppy main track and a soft turf course.  Rain can always screw this already difficult wagering game up, but fuck it, I aint’ scared babes.  Let’s go get ’em.  We’ll start with race six at Belmont Park.

Race 6- Easy Goer Stakes 150k:   The #2 Power Broker will be the favorite, but I’m not buying.  He just seems beatable.  The #9 Israal will be looking to do just that.  This fast improving colt blew by the field on the mud in his last, and he’s 2 for 2 at Belmont.  Add red-hot connections at 4-1 odds and I’m all in.

Race 7- True North Handicap G2:  Zayat Stables sends out an impressive coupling with the #1 Justin Phillips and the #1A Fast Bullet.  Fast Bullet may end up being a superstar in the sprint division, but I’m against him today with a good-looking colt named Sage Valley.  Sage Valley is in tremendous form and just won here on Preakness day, capturing the Maryland Sprint Handicap.  He’s posted back to back 105 Beyers and looks ready to roll again.  This stretch run will be fun to watch.

Dayatthespa

Dayatthespa

Race 8- Just a Game G1:  This one turn, one mile, turf race for the ladies is loaded with talent.  Mizdirection won the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint and there are four other Grade 1 winners entered.  One of those Grade 1 winners is the #4, Day At The Spa.   She beat some of the best of these back in October at Keeneland.  She’s 6-1 ML and she’s had lots of success with the second try off the layoff angle.  Trainer Chad Brown is the man in New York and she may be ready to pop with a career best effort.  Heavy play with a win bet, and up and down with exactas.

Race 9-  Woody Stephens G2: Part of me really wants to bet the #3 Capo Bastone, who may get the speed duel he needs in this one.  Gate problems have doomed him in the past, but some talent seems to be there.  Unfortunately for him every time a look at the form I fall in love with the #11 Let Em Shine.  Let Em Shine is the speed of the speed here, and even if he gets into a duel with the other big threat, #6 Zee Bros, Let Em Shine may still have the stamina and talent to win.  Win bet and exacta and triple combos with the #3, #6 and #9.

Point of Entry is a turf monster.

Point of Entry is a turf monster.

Race 10- The Manhattan:  The #1 Point of Entry is far and away the best horse here.  This turf monster scratched Derby day due to the soft turf and bowed out of a fight with Wise Dan.  If he stays in this one he’s a heavy favorite and a single in exotics.  If he scratches I feel great about the 8-1, #8 Twilight Eclipse.  He’s won two Grade 2’s and posted a career best 100 Beyer last time out at Gulfstream.  JJ takes the reigns in this one and I love that 8-1 line.  If the #1 stays in, play in exactas with the 8.

Race 11- The Belmont Stakes:  Orb vs Oxbow.  I may kick myself for not believing in Oxbow for this race, because as a pure fan, I love the way he always tries hard.  He’s a tough horse who deserved a big score, but I don’t see it happening again.  We all know about the pace in the Preakness and Oxbow won’t be alone up front this time.  Orb is the favorite here despite looking awful in Baltimore.  Orb didn’t handle traffic and didn’t fire at all when it counted.  In fact Orb looked spent in the turn and was getting passed in the stretch.  By post time he’ll probably be 2 to 1.  No thanks.  Instead I’ll take my chance with Golden Soul.  Golden Soul has finished 2nd to both Orb and Oxbow, and now it’s time to turn the tables.  He’s rested and training well.  His outside post will allow him to avoid trouble.  He’s a dead-on closer, and he’ll need pace up front, but I think he’ll get that and he’ll be charging hard late.  And I think Golden Soul wants the extra distance that the Belmont provides.  Win bet plus exacta and trifecta combos with the #2, #5, and the #9.  That’s right I’m throwing out Orb, you can’t bet ’em all.

Good luck to all Saturday!

Golden Soul will make or take Seabass' cash.

Golden Soul will make or take Seabass’ cash.

 

 

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