Saturday at Pimlico

Featured, Sports and Bets — April 12, 2013 at 3:51 pm by

Can you smell it?  That’s the smell of horse crap and money.  It’s a wonderful smell and it’s in full effect during the Spring meet athorse-money Pimlico.  Some naysayers would have you believe that making money at the track is horse crap, but who needs that kind of negativity?  Certainly not us here at charmcitywire.  We believe in the ponies and we love the feeling of watching our money cross the finish line first.

The Spring meet is in full swing.  With Preakness only a month away and the weather shaping up, it’s a fun time at Ol’ Hilltop.  I love this time of year and I love getting out to Pimlico to watch ’em run.  Saturday’s card features 11 races and it’s going to be 71 and sunny.  Plus both the Arkansas Derby and Blue Grass Stakes are being run at Oaklawn and Keeneland respectively.  These two races are the last of the major Kentucky Derby preps.  Post time at Pimlico is at 1:10 p.m.

We’ll start with the 5th race and then jump to the 7th for the .50 cent pick four.

Race 5 (ALW 42k N1x) : This is a five furlong sprint on the turf for fillies and mares.  The #2 Jazz is installed as the 9-5 favorite.  Jazz is a decent horse that has stakes experience, but I’m not buying at 9-5.  Jazz is coming off a long layoff and she hasn’t won since November of 2011, so we’ll look elsewhere.  This field won’t blow you away, but there may be some value here.  I’m going with the #12 Spinning Lady.  This miss is in nice form having won two straight, and despite this being her first turf appearance, her pedigree suggests she’ll handle it.  The 12 post may be tough to handle, but at 8-1 we’ll gamble.

 

Race 7 (MSW 40k):  These maiden fillies are going a mile and 1/16 on the turf.  I like the #8 Supreme Maker.  She’s bred for the turf at this distance.  She boast a steady work tab and whenever you can get the Dutrow/Rose connection at 6-1, it’s a bonus.  Hope the odds stay decent but either way this is a big play for me.  Like in exactas with the #3 and the #7.

Race 8 (CLM 7500):  #2 Glib is even money and looks to be the one to beat.  Sometimes you just gotta accept the favorite.  I’ll do that here and couple him with the #1 and the #5 in exactas.

Race 9 (OC N3X):  Favorites, favorites, favorites.  Is makes me sick to like a bunch of favorites, but I don’t see another horse challenging the #6 Manito for the lead, and  alone on the lead makes Manito really damn dangerous.  Not willing to go against it here.  Will couple the #6 with the#1 in exactas in an attempt for value.

Race 10 (OC 50k N1X): The #1A I’m Mom’s Favorite is about as obvious as it gets.  But at 4-5, I just can’t do it.  So I’ll throw some cash at the #8 CC Gold.  CC won her maiden by 9 lengths so there’s some talent here.  Put in exactas with the 1 for safety reasons.

oxbow

Oxbow

Race 11 (MDN CLM 25k):  The #3 Fuhr Town will be the favorite, but the horse is a career loser.  He’s never won and despite an extremely weak field, I won’t bet him to do so here either.  I’m going with the #11 Calvary Raid.  This colt rallied late in his 5 furlong debut, so I like the stretch out move to a mile and 1/16th.  I think he’ll handle the grass and the distance.  8-1 adds to the appeal.

Arkansas Derby:  A few weeks back, our resident handicapper Cliff B lamented on how bettors will keep betting a horse even though that horse keeps burning up their money.  Oxbow is one of those horses for me.  He’s always close and he always tries hard, and he’s won big races before.  I look for him to win the Arkansas Derby and punch his ticket to Kentucky.

Enjoy the races babes. See you at Ol’ Hilltop!

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