Orioles vs. Yankees Series Preview

Sports and Bets — July 11, 2014 at 4:22 pm by

The Birds will close out the first half of the season with a three-game series at home against the Yankees. The O’s are now three games ahead of the Blue Jays, so even the worst case scenario would have them tied for first at the All-Star break. But I’d be shocked if that happened. The Yankees are a good ball club, but their pitching staff has been decimated by injuries. Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, and Ivan Nova are all currently on the disabled list. Hopefully, the Birds will be able to take advantage of a team that’s ripe for the picking.

The Breakdown

New York Yankees (46-45) at Baltimore Orioles (50-41)

Season Series: Baltimore leads 4-2

New York’s Last 10 Games: 5-5, Baltimore’s Last 10 Games: 8-2

Runs: New York 18th, Baltimore tied for 8th

Home Runs: New York tied for 14th, Baltimore 2nd

Batting Average: New York tied for 15th, Baltimore tied for 3rd

On-base Percentage: New York tied for 16th, Baltimore 11th

Team ERA: New York tied for 22nd, Baltimore tied for 19th

Starting Pitcher ERA: New York 22nd, Baltimore 24th

Bullpen ERA: New York tied for 22nd, Baltimore 12th

Fewest Errors Made: New York 11th, Baltimore tied for 2nd

Friday, July 11, 7:05 PM on MASN

Hiroki Kuroda RHP (6-6) vs. Miguel Gonzalez RHP (4-5)

Kuroda’s Season Stats: 109 1/3 IP, 77 Ks, 4.20 ERA, 1.26 WHIP

Kuroda’s Last Three Starts: 2-1, 20 IP, 14 Ks, 4.05 ERA, 1.45 WHIP

Gonzalez’s Season Stats: 81 IP, 64 Ks, 4.22 ERA, 1.52 WHIP

Gonzalez’s Last Three Starts: 0-1, 17 2/3 IP, 9 Ks, 3.57 ERA, 1.87 WHIP

Kuroda has pitched very well against the Orioles over his career, going 3-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in eight starts. He’s been even better against the Birds in his two starts this year. Kuroda is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, and has struck out 10 batters over 12 1/3 innings.

Gonzalez had struggled in his first three starts since returning from the disabled list, recording a 6.14 ERA and 2.32 WHIP. But his fourth start was a beauty, and easily, his best outing of the season. Over eight innings, he allowed two runs (one earned) on seven hits and two walks, with six strikeouts in a no-decision against Boston. Gonzalez will look to build on that excellent start against a team that he has been solid against over his career. In eight career starts, Gonzalez is 2-2 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.19 WHIP against the Yankees. Gonzalez has faced the Yankees once this season, and he received a no-decision after allowing three runs on seven hits and a walk, with three strikeouts over six innings.

And yes, this is the same pitching matchup from Game 3 of the 2012 ALDS. Fucking Jim Johnson.

Good News: Chris Davis is 7-for-26 with two home runs, Adam Jones is 8-for-28, Nick Markakis is 8-for-25 with a home run, and Manny Machado is 5-for-20 with two home runs off Kuroda. Ichiro Suzuki is 4-for-19 with two home runs, Mark Teixeira is 0-for-6, and Brian McCann is 0-for-3 off Gonzalez.

Bad News: J.J. Hardy is 3-for-27 with a home run, Nelson Cruz is 3-for-19, Nick Hundley is 3-for-16, Ryan Flaherty is 1-for-12 with a home run, Professional Hitter Steve Pearce is 1-for-7, and Delmon Young is 1-for-6 off Kuroda. Brett Gardner is 5-for-15, Derek Jeter is 5-for-14, Kelly Johnson is 4-for-11 with a home run, and Jacoby Ellsbury is 3-for-9 off Gonzalez.

Saturday, July 12, 4:05 PM on MASN, WJZ

Shane Greene RHP (1-0) vs. Ubaldo Jimenez RHP (3-8)

Greene’s Season Stats: 6 1/3 IP, 3 Ks, 2.84 ERA, 1.11 WHIP

Jimenez’s Season Stats: 99 2/3 IP, 88 Ks, 4.52 ERA, 1.54 WHIP

Jimenez’s Last Three Starts: 1-0, 18 IP, 17 Ks, 4.00 ERA, 1.44 WHIP

Greene is a 25-year-old rookie who has only made one start and one relief appearance in his young career. He pitched well in his only start, earning the win after holding Cleveland to two runs over six innings. Greene’s minor league numbers aren’t very impressive, though. He recorded a 4.39 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over 526 1/3 innings. On paper, the Birds should absolutely pummel this kid. But the O’s have a nasty habit of overlooking unheralded starting pitchers and not taking advantage of these types of matchups.

After pitching a gem against Texas, Jimenez got his shit pushed in by Boston. He walked six batters over 3 2/3 innings and was lucky to only give up four runs. Jimenez will look to rebound from that dreadful start against a Yankees team that he’s struggled mightily against in his career. In his six career starts, he’s 1-4 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.84 WHIP, and has walked 23 batters over 32 2/3 innings. In two starts this year, he’s 0-1 with a 4.35 ERA and 2.42 WHIP, and has walked 11 batters over 10 1/3 innings. I’m no pitching guru, but I think that it would really help Jimenez if he threw the fucking ball over the plate every down and then. Just a thought.

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Good News: In the five games since returning from his suspension, Machado is batting .522/.542/.870 with two home runs, three RBIs, and four runs scored. In 149 career games against the Yankees, Markakis has slashed .301/.363/.454 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs, and 79 runs scored. Johnson is 8-for-34, Teixeira is 2-for-19, Suzuki is 4-for-15, Brendan Ryan is 2-for-13, Gardner is 2-for-12, Jeter is 1-for-8, and Brian Roberts is 1-for-8 off Jimenez. In 76 career games against the O’s, Gardner is only slashing .233/.301/.382.

Bad News: In 47 career games against the Yankees, Cruz has only hit .201/.314/.433, albeit with 10 home runs. In 86 career games against the Orioles, Ellsbury has slashed .343/.388/.503 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs, 61 runs scored, and 35 stolen bases. McCann is 9-for-31 with a home run, and Ellsbury is 5-for-10 off Jimenez.

Sunday, July 13, 8:05 PM on ESPN

To Be Announced vs. Chris Tillman RHP (7-4)

Tillman’s Season Stats: 111 2/3 IP, 70 Ks, 4.11 ERA, 1.39 WHIP

Tillman’s Last Three Starts: 1-0, 20 2/3 IP, 10 Ks, 2.61 ERA, 1.06 WHIP

Tillman will have his work cut out for him in the first half finale. In 11 career starts against the Yankees, Tillman is 5-4, but sporting an ugly 5.83 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. However, in his only start against them this season, Tillman was lights out. He earned the win after pitching seven shutout innings.

Good News: Suzuki is 4-for-21, and McCann is 0-for-3 off Tillman.

Bad News: In 103 career games against the Orioles, Teixeira has slashed .290/.374/.524 with 22 home runs, 67 RBIs, and 65 runs scored. Ellsbury is 7-for-23 with a home run, Gardner is 5-for-18, Jeter is 6-for-16, Teixeira is 4-for-13, Johnson is 4-for-12 with a home run, and Francisco Cervelli is 2-for-5 off Tillman.

The best news is that this GIF exists.

pearce

Enjoy the games everybody, and let’s go O’s!

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