Orioles vs. Yankees Series Preview

Sports and Bets — October 2, 2015 at 11:56 pm by

The O’s will finish their season with a three-game series against the Yankees. The best case scenario in this series is that the Birds finish the year at .500 and in 3rd place in the AL East. What a total bummer. Let’s turn out the lights on this miserable fucking season, babes.

The Breakdown
Baltimore Orioles (78-81) vs. New York Yankees (87-72)
Season Series: New York leads 9-7
Last 10 Games: Baltimore’s 5-5, New York’s 5-5
Runs: Baltimore’s 11th, New York’s 2nd
Home Runs: Baltimore’s tied for 3rd, New York’s tied for 3rd
Batting Average: Baltimore’s 23rd, New York’s 16th
On-Base Percentage: Baltimore’s 28th, New York’s 11th
Team ERA: Baltimore’s 18th, New York’s 15th
Starter ERA: Baltimore’s 25th, New York’s 18th
Bullpen ERA: Baltimore’s 6th, New York’s 14th
Fewest Errors Made: Baltimore’s 3rd, New York’s tied for 17th

Baltimore’s Injury Report
INF Jonathan Schoop: day-to-day (bruised right hand)
OF Adam Jones: day-to-day (back)

New York’s Injury Report
P Nathan Eovaldi: day-to-day (right elbow; could return in postseason)
P Diego Moreno: 60-day DL (right elbow)
P Sergio Santos: 60-day DL (Tommy John surgery; out for season)
P Chase Whitley: 60-day DL (Tommy John surgery; out for season)
INF Mark Teixeira: 15-day DL (right shin; out for the season)
OF Jacoby Ellsbury: day-to-day (back)
OF Mason Williams: 60-day DL (right shoulder surgery; out for season)

Saturday, October 4 at 12:05 p.m. on MASN
LHP Wei-Yin Chen (10-8) vs. RHP Ivan Nova (6-10)
Chen’s 2015: 30 GS, 185.1 IP, 150 Ks, 3.35 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
Chen’s Last Three Starts: 2-1, 19.2 IP, 16 Ks, 2.29 ERA, 0.97 WHIP
Nova’s 2015: 16 GS, 88.1 IP, 59 Ks, 4.89 ERA, 1.37 WHIP
Nova’s Last Three Starts: 0-3, 14.1 IP, 14 Ks, 6.91 ERA, 1.60 WHIP

This will most likely be Chen’s last start as an Oriole and that is a goddamn shame. Chen is a 30-year-old lefty, who just had the best season of his career, but it’s doubtful that the cheapskate Birds come anywhere close to retaining his services. What a fucking pity. Chen will look to head into free agency on a high note against a dangerous Yankees lineup. In 13 career starts against New York, Chen is 3-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, and he’s struck out 60 batters over 75.2 innings. This season, Chen has gone 1-1 in four starts against the Yankees with a 3.70 ERA and 1.27 WHIP while striking out 19 batters over 24.1 innings.

Nova was knocked around in his last start, taking the loss against the Red Sox after giving up four runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out seven over seven innings. Starts like that have been the norm for Nova in the second half. In his 12 starts since the break, the 28-year-old has gone 5-7 with a 5.43 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. It’ll be tough for Nova to conquer his second half struggles against the Birds, as they’ve had they righty’s number over the years. In 14 career appearances (13 starts) against the O’s, Nova is 6-3 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, and he’s struck out 68 batters over 88.1 innings. This season, Nova picked up the win in his first start against the Birds after holding them to two runs on three hits and three walks while striking out three over six innings.

Good News: J.J. Hardy is 10-for-34 with a HR, Matt Wieters is 11-for-34 with 4 HRs, Chris Davis is 8-for-27 with 3 HRs, Ryan Flaherty is 4-for-8 with a HR, Jonathan Schoop is 2-for-4, Paul Janish is 1-for-3, and Gerardo Parra is 1-for-3 off Nova. Alex Rodriguez is 4-for-21 with 2 HRs, Dustin Ackley is 3-for-13, Carlos Beltran is 2-for-12, Brendan Ryan is 1-for-12, Brian McCann is 1-for-9, Didi Gregorius is 2-for-8, and Gregory Bird is 0-for-2 off Chen.

Bad News: Adam Jones is 8-for-40 with a HR, Machado is 2-for-16, Nolan Reimold is 3-for-12, David Lough is 0-for-3, and Caleb Joseph is 0-for-1 off Nova. Jacoby Ellsbury is 8-for-26, Brett Gardner is 6-for-21 with a HR, Chris Young is 6-for-14 with a HR, Stephen Drew is 4-for-13, Chase Headley is 5-for-12, John Ryan Murphy is 3-for-7 with a HR, and Jose Pirela is 5-for-7 off Chen.

Saturday, October 3 at 7:05 p.m. on MASN
RHP Ubaldo Jimenez (12-10) vs. RHP Luis Severino (5-3)
Jimenez’s 2015: 31 GS, 178 IP, 161 Ks, 4.10 ERA, 1.36 WHIP
Jimenez’s Last Three Starts: 1-1, 18 IP, 15 Ks, 3.00 ERA, 1.39 WHIP
Severino’s 2015: 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 50 Ks, 2.77 ERA, 1.27 WHIP
Severino’s Last Three Starts: 2-0, 17.2 IP, 12 Ks, 1.53 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

Jimenez was a hard-luck loser in his last start, taking the loss against Boston despite holding them to two runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out six over seven innings. Jimenez has really been throwing the ball well down the stretch, going 3-1 in five September starts with a 2.93 ERA and 1.27 WHIP while striking out 27 batters over 30.2 innings. He’ll look to keep the good times rolling against a Yankees club that’s given him fits over the years. In 10 career starts against New York, Jimenez is 4-5 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.71 WHIP, and he’s struck out 48 batters over 52 innings. This season, Jimenez has gone 2-1 in three starts against the Yankees with an 8.16 ERA and 1.60 WHIP while striking out 16 batters over 14.1 innings.

Severino’s last start was one of the best of his young career, as he picked up the win against the White Sox after pitching six scoreless innings. The 21-year-old gave up five hits and a walk while striking out two batters. Severino was ranked as the 35th best prospect by Baseball America coming into the season, and he’s certainly been able to live up to the hype thus far. Severino is a ground ball pitcher, who lights up the radar gun with a mid to high 90s fastball. His heater is his best pitch, and he compliments it with a slider and a changeup. This will be Severino’s first time facing the Orioles or any of their hitters.

Good News: Young is 8-for-45, McCann is 10-for-40 with a HR, Gardner is 3-for-17, Ryan is 2-for-13, Bird is 0-for-3, and Pirela is 0-for-2 off Jimenez. Machado has joined Brady Anderson as the only Orioles to ever post a 30-HR/20-SB season (Kubatko). Davis was named the Most Valuable Oriole and his 45 homers lead the majors. Pay that man his money.

Bad News: Drew is 12-for-46 with 2 HRs, Headley is 8-for-29 with a HR, Beltran is 9-for-23 with 3 HRs, Ellsbury is 7-for-15 with a HR, Ackley is 7-for-14 with a HR, Rodriguez is 3-for-10, Gregorius is 2-for-5, and Murphy is 2-for-2 off Jimenez.

Sunday, October 4 at 3:05 p.m. on MASN
RHP Chris Tillman (10-11) vs. RHP Michael Pineda (12-9)
Tillman’s 2015: 30 G, 167.2 IP, 115 Ks, 5.05 ERA, 1.37 WHIP
Tillman’s Last Three Starts: 1-0, 19 IP, 12 Ks, 3.79 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
Pineda’s 2015: 26 GS, 157 IP, 151 IP, 4.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
Pineda’s Last Three Starts: 2-1, 17.1 IP, 14 Ks, 4.15 ERA, 1.15 WHIP

In a shocking turn of events, Tillman was able to keep Toronto in check in his last start. He was no-decisioned after surrendering two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out three over 7.1 innings. It won’t be easy for Tillman to pull off an encore performance, as the Bronx Bombers have traditionally hammered the righty. In 15 career starts against the Yankees, Tilly is 5-6 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, and he’s struck out 59 batters over 80 innings. This season, Tillman took the loss in his first start against New York after allowing four runs on 10 hits and three walks while striking out three over 5.2 innings.

Pineda got his sauce peppered in his last start, taking the loss against the Red Sox after giving up seven runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out four over six innings. Pineda has really struggled to get batters out since missing roughly a month of action with a right forearm injury. In Pineda’s seven starts since coming off the DL, he’s gone 3-2 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The 26-year-old control artist has posted solid numbers against the Birds over his career, going 3-1 in eight starts with a 3.67 ERA and 1.08 WHIP while striking out 57 batters over 49 innings. But the O’s haven’t been nearly as kind to Pineda in 2015. This season, he’s gone 2-1 in four starts against the Birds with a 5.70 ERA and 1.44 WHIP while striking out 32 batters over 23.2 innings.

Good News: Jones is 7-for-23 with a HR, Davis is 3-for-16 with 2 HRs, Hardy is 6-for-13 with 3 HRs, Machado is 5-for-11, Schoop is 2-for-10 with a HR, Jimmy Paredes is 5-for-9, Reimold is 3-for-7, and Parra is 1-for-3 off Pineda. Ackley is 1-for-13, McCann is 3-for-12, Headley is 2-for-9, Beltran is 0-for-8, Young is 1-for-7, Ryan is 0-for-3, and Austin Romine is 0-for-2 off Tillman.

Bad News: Flaherty is 1-for-11, Joseph is 2-for-10, Wieters is 1-for-6, Pearce is 1-for-5, and Christian Walker is 0-for-2 off Pineda. Ellsbury is 9-for-34 with a HR, Gardner is 8-for-30, Drew is 6-for-17 with a HR, Rodriguez is 6-for-12 with 4 HRs, and Gregorius is 2-for-5 off Tillman.

Enjoy the games, and let’s go O’s!

stats: Baseball-Reference
cover pic: Canada

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