Orioles vs. Blue Jays Series Preview

Sports and Bets — September 15, 2014 at 6:36 pm by

After taking three out of four from that bag of shit team from New York, the Blue Jays are coming to town for a three-game ass whipping. The Birds’ magic number is down to three, so if they are able to win two out of three from Toronto, they will take their first AL East title since 1997. Put that champagne on ice, babes!

The Breakdown

Baltimore Orioles (89-60) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (77-71)

Season Series: Baltimore leads 7-6

Baltimore’s Last 10 Games: 7-3, Toronto’s Last 10 Games: 6-4

Runs: Baltimore’s 7th, Toronto’s 5th

Home Runs: Baltimore’s 1st, Toronto’s tied for 2nd

Batting Average: Baltimore’s 8th, Toronto’s 6th

On-base Percentage: Baltimore’s 17th, Toronto’s 6th

Team ERA: Baltimore’s 7th, Toronto’s 24th

Starter ERA: Baltimore’s 11th, Toronto’s 22nd

Bullpen ERA: Baltimore’s 8th, Toronto’s 24th

Fewest Errors Made: Baltimore’s 3rd, Toronto’s tied for 7th

Monday, September 15, at 7:05 PM on MASN 2

Wei-Yin Chen LHP (15-4) vs. Marcus Stroman RHP (10-5)

Chen’s Season Stats: 168 IP, 123 Ks, 3.59 ERA, 1.21 WHIP

Chen’s Last Three Starts: 2-0, 19.2 IP, 14 Ks, 2.29 ERA, 0.92 WHIP

Stroman’s Season Stats: 114.2 IP, 97 Ks, 3.61 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

Stroman’s Last Three Starts: 3-0, 22.2 IP, 18 Ks, 1.59 ERA, 0.79 WHIP

Chen has been fantastic during the second half of the season, going 6-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.06 WHIP over 10 starts. He’ll look for his 16th win against a team that has really given him trouble in the past. In two career starts, Chen is 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 2.00 WHIP against the Blue Jays. Chen faced the Blue Jays on August 6, and he took the loss after surrendering four runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings.

Stroman came into the season as Baseball America’s 55th best prospect, and he has certainly lived up to the hype. Fortunately for the O’s, they’ll get to face Stroman at home and not at the Rogers Centre. In 14 appearances (11 starts) at home this season, Stroman is 7-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. In nine appearances (seven starts) on the road this season, Stroman is 3-3 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. This will be Stroman’s first career start against the Birds.

Good News: Kelly Johnson is 2-for-5, and Alejandro De Aza is 1-for-3 off Stroman. Jose Reyes is 0-for-3, Ryan Goins is 0-for-2, and Munenori Kawasaki is 0-for-2 off Chen.

Bad News: Danny Valencia is 3-for-10, Jose Bautista is 2-for-3 with a HR, Edwin Encarnacion is 1-for-3 with a HR, Dioner Navarro is 1-for-3, Colby Rasmus is 1-for-2, and Anthony Gose is 1-for-1 off Chen.

Tuesday, September 16, at 7:05 PM on MASN 2

Ubaldo Jimenez RHP (4-9) vs. Drew Hutchison RHP (10-11)

Jimenez’s Season Stats: 114.1 IP, 104 Ks, 4.96 ERA, 1.56 WHIP

Jimenez’s Last Start (at Cleveland): L, 4.1 IP, 5 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 5 K

Hutchison’s Season Stats: 169.1 IP, 159 Ks, 4.36 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

Hutchison’s Last Three Starts: 2-0, 19.1 IP, 25 Ks, 1.86 ERA, 0.83 WHIP

It’d be hilarious if Jimenez was the winning pitcher in the game that gave the O’s their division title. It also wouldn’t surprise me if it happened either with the way the Birds have been getting contributions from unexpected sources. It really is a different hero every night for this squad. Jimenez has been roughed up by Toronto over his career, going 2-3 in seven starts with a 4.89 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. This season, Jimenez has gone 0-2 in two starts against the Blue Jays with a 5.56 ERA and 1.76 WHIP.

For reasons that I’ll never understand, the Orioles really struggle against Hutchison. He’s a pretty average pitcher against everyone else, but against the Birds he inexplicably turns into Cy Young. In six career starts against the O’s, Hutchison has gone 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.86 WHIP while striking out 36 batters over 39.2 innings. In four starts against the Birds this season, Hutchison has gone 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA and 0.76 WHIP while striking out 25 batters over 27.2 innings. Good grief.

Good News: De Aza is 2-for-4 off Hutchison. Bautista is 2-for-24, Reyes is 5-for-21 with a HR, Navarro is 1-for-6, Valencia is 1-for-6, and George Kottaras is 0-for-4 off Jimenez.

Bad News: Nick Markakis is 4-for-18, Adam Jones is 3-for-18, J.J. Hardy is 3-for-16, Nelson Cruz is 2-for-15, Ryan Flaherty is 0-for-7, Jonathan Schoop is 1-for-7 with a HR, and Johnson is 1-for-5 off Hutchison. Colby Rasmus is 10-for-27 with a HR, Encarnacion is 5-for-19 with a HR, Adam Lind is 5-for-16, and Juan Francisco is 2-for-5 with a HR off Jimenez.

Wednesday, September 17, at 7:05 PM on MASN 2

Bud Norris RHP (13-8) vs. J.A. Happ LHP (9-10)

Norris’ Season Stats: 154 IP, 126 Ks, 3.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP

Norris’ Last Three Starts: 2-0, 19 IP, 21 Ks, 1.89 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

Happ’s Season Stats: 138.2 IP, 119 Ks, 4.28 ERA, 1.36 WHIP

Happ’s Last Three Starts: 1-2, 20 IP, 18 Ks, 3.60 ERA, 1.10 WHIP

Norris has pitched well against Toronto over his career, and especially well in his starts this season. For his career, Norris is 3-0 in five starts with a 2.79 ERA and 1.38 WHIP, and has struck out 24 batters over 29 innings. This season, Norris is 3-0 against Toronto in four starts. He’s posted a 2.16 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, and has struck out 19 batters over 25 innings.

Happ has been very effective against the O’s over his career, but he only has a 1-2 record to show for it. He’s recorded a 2.41 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in six appearances (five starts) while striking out 40 batters over 33.2 innings. He’s been even better against the Birds in his three appearances (two starts) this season. He’s gone 1-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.02 WHIP while striking out 21 batters over 16.2 innings.

Good News: Jones is 6-for-17, Markakis is 5-for-16, Johnson is 2-for-10 with two HRs, Cruz is 5-for-9, Nick Hundley is 3-for-9, and Caleb Joseph is 1-for-3 with a HR off Happ. Hardy is only 3-for-12 off Happ, but his three hits are all doubles, and he’s also walked twice. Bautista is 1-for-11 off Norris.

Bad News: Professional Hitter Steve Pearce is 3-for-12, Delmon Young is 2-for-13, Schoop is 1-for-6, and De Aza is 1-for-5 off Happ. Rasmus is 6-for-29 with three HRs, Reyes is 9-for-25, Josh Thole is 5-for-15 with a HR, Navarro is 5-for-14 with a HR, Kottaras is 2-for-9 with a HR, Francisco is 3-for-10, Encarnacion is 3-for-8, and Lind is 2-for-7 off Norris.

Enjoy the games, and let’s go O’s!

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