Orioles at Yankees Series Preview

Sports and Bets — September 7, 2015 at 12:30 pm by

After dropping two out of three to the Blue Jays, the Birds will wrap up their six-game road trip with a three-game series in New York. The Yankees are just 1.5 games behind Toronto for 1st place in the AL East, and they have a five game lead over the Rangers for the 1st Wild Card spot. The O’s have lost 14 of their last 17, and they’re in a slightly less enviable position. They’re just one game ahead of the Red Sox for 4th place in the AL East, and they’re 6.5 games behind Texas for the 2nd Wild Card spot with six teams in front of them. The Birds pretty much need their entire lineup to morph into Chris Davis clones for them to have any shot at returning to the playoffs.

The Breakdown
Baltimore Orioles (65-71) at New York Yankees (76-59)
Season Series: New York leads 8-5
Last 10 Games: Baltimore’s 2-8, New York’s 7-3
Runs: Baltimore’s tied for 9th, New York’s 2nd
Home Runs: Baltimore’s 4th, New York’s 3rd
Batting Average: Baltimore’s 20th, New York’s 14th
On-Base Percentage: Baltimore’s 27th, New York’s 5th
Team ERA: Baltimore’s 19th, New York’s 15th
Starter ERA: Baltimore’s 25th, New York’s 17th
Bullpen ERA: Baltimore’s 5th, New York’s 10th
Fewest Errors Made: Baltimore’s tied for 1st, New York’s tied for 18th

Baltimore’s Injury Report
P Miguel Gonzalez: 15-day DL (right shoulder, elbow)
INF J.J. Hardy: 15-day DL (groin; could be activated Tuesday)
C Matt Wieters: day-to-day (sore left wrist from being an uncoordinated oaf)

New York’s Injury Report
P Diego Moreno: 60-day DL (right elbow)
P Sergio Santos: 60-day DL (Tommy John surgery; out for season)
P Chase Whitley: 60-day DL (Tommy John surgery; out for season)
INF Mark Teixeira: 15-day DL (right shin)
OF Slade Heathcott: 60-day DL (right quad)
OF Mason Williams: 60-day DL (right shoulder surgery; out for season)

Monday, September 7 at 1:05 p.m. on MASN & ESPN
LHP Wei-Yin Chen (8-7) vs. RHP Michael Pineda (10-8)
Chen’s 2015: 26 GS, 160.2 IP, 129 Ks, 3.36 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
Chen’s Last Three Starts: 1-1, 17.1 IP, 11 Ks, 4.67 ERA, 1.67 WHIP
Pineda’s 2015: 21 GS, 128.1 IP, 127 Ks, 4.07 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
Pineda’s Last Three Starts: 1-2, 16 IP, 14 Ks, 6.19 ERA, 1.19 WHIP

Chen will look to rebound from a rare poor outing in the series opener. The Birds’ ace was roughed up by the Rays in his last start, taking the loss after giving up five runs on nine hits and no walks while striking out four over 4.2 innings. It won’t be easy for Chen to get back to posting bagels, as the Yankees have knocked around the crafty lefty over the years. In 12 career starts against New York, Chen is 3-5 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, and he’s struck out 55 batters over 70.2 innings. Thankfully, Chen has been much better against the Yanks this season, going 1-1 in three starts with a 2.79 ERA and 1.09 WHIP while striking out 14 batters over 19.1 innings.

This will be Pineda’s third start since missing roughly a month of action with a right forearm strain. In his first start back, he took the loss after being lit up by the Astros for five runs on six hits and a walk while striking out three over 4.1 innings. It seems that Pineda was able to shake off the rust quickly, though, as he was very sharp in his last start. He picked up the win against the Red Sox after holding them to one run on four hits and no walks while striking out seven over six innings. The 26-year-old has traditionally loved facing the Birds, going 3-1 in seven career starts with a 3.35 ERA and 1.05 WHIP while striking out 52 batters over 43 innings. However, Pineda has ran into some trouble against the O’s this season, as he’s gone 2-1 in three starts with a 5.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP while striking out 27 batters over 17.2 innings.

Good News: Adam Jones is 7-for-20 with a HR, Chris Davis is 3-for-14 with 2 HRs, Manny Machado is 4-for-8, Jimmy Paredes is 4-for-6, and Nolan Reimold is 2-for-6 off Pineda. Alex Rodriguez is 3-for-18 with a HR, Dustin Ackley is 3-for-13, Brendan Ryan is 1-for-12, Carlos Beltran is 1-for-9, Brian McCann is 1-for-9, Didi Gregorious is 1-for-5, and John Ryan Murphy is 1-for-4 off Chen.

Bad News: Caleb Joseph is 2-for-9, Ryan Flaherty is 0-for-8, Jonathan Schoop is 1-for-7, Matt Wieters is 1-for-6, and Steve Pearce is 1-for-5 off Pineda. Jacoby Ellsbury is 8-for-23, Brett Gardner is 6-for-21 with a HR, Stephen Drew is 4-for-13, Chris Young is 4-for-11 with a HR, Chase Headley is 4-for-9, and Jose Pirela is 4-for-5 off Chen. Gerardo Parra has 5 hits in his last 45 at-bats, and he’s now hitting .229/.263/.397 as an Oriole.

Tuesday, September 8 at 7:05 p.m. on MASN
RHP Kevin Gausman (2-6) vs. RHP Masahiro Tanaka (11-6)
Gausman’s 2015: 20 G, 12 GS, 82.1 IP, 70 Ks, 4.59 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Gausman’s Last Three Starts: 0-1, 16 IP, 12 Ks, 5.06 ERA, 1.44 WHIP
Tanaka’s 2015: 20 GS, 128 IP, 115 Ks, 3.73 ERA, 1.02 WHIP
Tanaka’s Last Three Starts: 2-1, 19.1 IP, 15 Ks, 4.66 ERA, 1.09 WHIP

Gausman’s coming off his shortest outing of the season. He took the loss against the Rays in his last start after giving up four runs (three earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out one over 2.1 innings. Gausman has really been laboring down the stretch, as he’s gone 0-4 over his last six starts with a 5.45 ERA. He’ll try to turn things around against a Yankees club that he boasts excellent career numbers against. In 10 appearances (four starts) against New York, Gausman is 3-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, and he’s struck out 30 batters over 33.2 innings. Gausman hasn’t been able to replicate that success so far this season, though, going 0-1 in two appearances (one start) against the Yankees. He’s allowed six runs (five earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out four batters over 6.2 innings.

Tanaka hasn’t been dominant this season, but he virtually always keeps the Yankees in the game. He’s pitched at least six innings in 11 straight starts, and he’s delivered quality starts in nine of these outings. It’s hard to imagine the Orioles and their super impatient approaches being able to send Tanaka to the showers early. In three career starts against the O’s, Tanaka is 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, and he’s struck out 23 batters over 21.2 innings. This season, Tanaka earned the win in his first start against the Birds after holding them to three runs on five hits and no walks while striking out seven over 7.2 innings.

Good News: Davis is 3-for-9 with a HR, Schoop is 2-for-9 with 2 HRs, Machado is 2-for-7 with a HR, Paredes is 1-for-3, and Pearce is 1-for-3 off Tanaka. Ellsbury is 2-for-13, McCann is 2-for-10, Drew is 0-for-9, Headley is 1-for-5, Gregorius is 1-for-4, Ackley is 0-for-3, Ryan is 0-for-3, and Pirela is 0-for-2 off Gausman.

Bad News: Jones is 2-for-9, Junior Lake is 1-for-6, Wieters is 1-for-5, Flaherty is 0-for-3, Reimold is 0-for-3, and Joseph is 0-for-2 off Tanaka. Gardner is 4-for-13 with a HR, Rodriguez is 2-for-5 with a HR, Young is 2-for-5, and Beltran is 1-for-3 off Gausman. The Yankees are 39-27 at home, while the O’s are an AL-worst 27-44 on the road.

Wednesday, September 9 at 7:05 p.m. on MASN
RHP Ubaldo Jimenez (10-9) vs. LHP CC Sabathia (4-9)
Jimenez’s 2015: 27 GS, 153 IP, 138 Ks, 4.24 ERA, 1.39 WHIP
Jimenez’s Last Three Starts: 1-2, 17 IP, 10 Ks, 6.35 ERA, 1.88 WHIP
Sabathia’s 2015: 24 GS, 138.1 IP, 113 Ks, 5.27 ERA, 1.45 WHIP
Sabathia’s Last Three Starts: 0-1, 15.1 IP, 8 Ks, 4.70 ERA, 1.76 WHIP

Jimenez was like a damn magician in his last start, repeatedly finding ways to escape predicaments against the Blue Jays. He picked up his 10th win of the season after surrendering two runs (one earned) on four hits and six walks while striking out four over 5.2 innings. Jimenez has really had problems with his control lately, walking 16 batters in 27 innings over his last five starts. Unsurprisingly, Jimenez has gone 1-2 with a 6.33 ERA over this span while failing to complete six innings in any of these outings. He’ll need to bring his A-game to put an end to this streak, as the Yanks have had his number over the years. In nine career starts against New York, Jimenez is 3-5 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.89 WHIP, and he’s struck out 40 batters over 45 innings. Unfortunately, it’s been more of the same for Jimenez this season. In two starts against the Yankees, he’s gone 1-1 with a 12.27 ERA and 2.59 WHIP while striking out eight batters over 7.1 innings.

Sabathia has been dealing with arthritis in his right knee, and this will be his first start since August 23. The gigantic 35-year-old southpaw, who’s generously listed at 290 pounds, looks totally washed up, and I’m surprised that the Yankees are still letting him make starts while in the stretch run of a pennant race. They might as well be trotting a shitfaced David Wells out there at this point. Sabathia does have terrific career numbers against the O’s, going 18-7 in 32 starts with a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while striking out 168 batters over 222.1 innings. But this season, the Birds have had the upper hand against the 2007 Cy Young winner. Sabathia has gone 0-1 in two starts against the O’s with a 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP while striking out 10 batters over 12 innings.

Good News: Jones is 19-for-69 with 4 HRs, Machado is 9-for-33 with a HR, Reimold is 11-for-30 with 2 HRs, Joseph is 2-for-3, Parra is 1-for-3, and Flaherty is 1-for-2 off Sabathia. Young is 8-for-45, Gardner is 3-for-17, Ryan is 2-for-13, and Pirela is 0-for-2 off Jimenez. In 4 games in September, Davis is batting .438/.500/1.375 with 5 HRs, 8 RBIs, and 6 runs scored.

Bad News: Wieters is 7-for-43 with a HR, Davis is 7-for-32 with a HR, Pearce is 3-for-14, Schoop is 0-for-3, and Paul Janish is 0-for-2 off Sabathia. Drew is 11-for-44 with 2 HRs, McCann is 10-for-37 with a HR, Headley is 8-for-26 with a HR, Beltran is 7-for-20 with 2 HRs, Ellsbury is 7-for-12 with a HR, Ackley is 6-for-11 with a HR, Rodriguez is 3-for-7, Gregorius is 2-for-3, and Murphy is 2-for-2 off Jimenez.

Enjoy the games, and let’s go O’s!

stats: Baseball-Reference
cover pic: MLB

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