Orioles at Yankees Series Preview

Sports and Bets — May 7, 2015 at 6:24 pm by

The Birds will wrap up their six-game New York road trip with a four-game series against the hated Yankees. The O’s are a game under .500, while the Yankees are 17-11 and in first place in the AL East. Just typing that sentence makes me feel physically ill. Thankfully, I have a good feeling that the O’s are getting ready to turn the corner. They’re getting J.J. Hardy back today and Ryan Flaherty on Friday, and the starting pitching has been much better as of late. The Birds have laid in the weeds for long enough. It’s time to rattle off some wins!

The Breakdown
Baltimore Orioles (12-13) vs. New York Yankees (17-11)
Season Series: Baltimore leads 2-1
Last 10 Games: Baltimore’s 5-5, New York’s 7-3
Runs: Baltimore’s 12th, New York’s 5th
Home Runs: Baltimore’s tied for 7th, New York’s tied for 5th
Batting Average: Baltimore’s 3rd, New York’s 18th
On-Base Percentage: Baltimore’s 6th, New York’s 13th
Team ERA: Baltimore’s 23rd, New York’s 5th
Starter ERA: Baltimore’s 23rd, New York’s 12th
Bullpen ERA: Baltimore’s 20th, New York’s 5th
Fewest Errors Made: Baltimore’s tied for 13th, New York’s tied for 23rd

Baltimore’s Injury Report
P Wesley Wright: 15-day DL (left shoulder)
C Matt Wieters: 15-day DL (right elbow)
INF Everth Cabrera: 15-day DL (left foot)
INF Ryan Flaherty: 15-day DL (groin; will be activated on Friday)
INF Jonathan Schoop: 15-day DL (right knee)

New York’s Disabled List
P Chris Capuano: 15-day DL (right quadriceps)
P Ivan Nova: 60-day DL (right elbow)
P Masahiro Tanaka: 15-day DL (right forearm/right wrist)
INF Gregorio Petit: 15-day DL (right hand)
INF Brendan Ryan: 15-day DL (right hamstring)

Thursday, May 7 at 7:05 p.m. on MASN & MLBN
RHP Chris Tillman (2-3) vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi (2-0)
Tillman’s Stats: 5 GS, 26 IP, 20 Ks, 6.23 ERA, 1.54 WHIP
Eovaldi’s Stats: 5 GS, 28.1 IP, 22 Ks, 3.81 ERA, 1.55 WHIP

Tillman pitched a gem in his last start, but he was a hard-luck loser against the Rays. He gave up two runs on three hits and two walks while striking out seven over seven innings. It won’t be easy for Tillman to build off that excellent start, as the Yankees have really given him trouble over the years. In 14 career starts against New York, Tillman is 5-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. In seven starts at Yankee Stadium, Tillman is 3-3 with a 7.47 ERA and 1.98 WHIP. Tilly sure didn’t have any trouble against the Bronx Bombers last year, though. He went 1-1 in four starts with a 1.98 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He also earned a win in his lone start at Yankee Stadium after pitching seven shutout innings.

Eovaldi was sharp in his last turn, earning the win after holding Boston to two runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out two over 6.2 innings. The hard-throwing 25-year-old throws four pitches, but he mainly relies on his fastball and slider. He’s thrown one of those two pitches 84.4% of the time this season and 87.4% of the time over his career. Eovaldi’s only career start against the Birds took place on April 15, and he was no-decisioned after surrendering two runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out nine over five innings.

Good News: Chris Davis is 1-for-3, Adam Jones is 1-for-3, Caleb Joseph is 2-for-3, Travis Snider is 1-for-3, and Manny Machado is 1-for-2 with a HR off Eovaldi. Jacoby Ellsbury is 7-for-31 with a HR, Brett Gardner is 6-for-27, Chris Young is 1-for-7, Carlos Beltran is 0-for-5, and Chase Headley is 1-for-6 off Tillman.

Bad News: Alejandro De Aza is 0-for-3, David Lough is 0-for-3, and Jimmy Paredes is 0-for-2 off Eovaldi. Mark Teixeira is 7-for-21, Stephen Drew is 5-for-15 with a HR, Alex Rodriguez is 5-for-10 with 3 HRs, Brian McCann is 3-for-9, and Didi Gregorius is 1-for-2 off Tillman.

Friday, May 8 at 7:05 p.m. on MASN & MLBN
RHP Miguel Gonzalez (3-1) vs. RHP Adam Warren (2-1)
Gonzalez’s Stats: 5 GS, 31.1 IP, 27 Ks, 2.59 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
Warren’s Stats: 5 GS, 26.1 IP, 14 Ks, 4.78 ERA, 1.33 WHIP

Gonzalez cruised in his last start, picking up the win against Tampa after giving up no runs on four hits and a walk while striking out six over 7.2 innings. Gonzo will look the keep the good times rolling against a Yankees club that he’s had a lot of success against over his career. In 11 lifetime starts against New York, he’s 3-3 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. At Yankee Stadium, he’s 2-2 in six starts with a 4.29 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Last season, Gonzalez went 0-1 in three starts against the Yankees with a 3.60 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Gonzalez faced the Yankees on April 14, and he earned the win after giving up only one run on four hits and a walk while striking out a career-high 10 batters over seven innings.

Warren’s only made eight career starts in the big leagues, but he did put up strong numbers in the minors. In 90 starts, he went 28-25 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. He’s also pitched very well for the Yankees out of the bullpen the past two seasons. He was especially effective in 2014, posting a 2.97 ERA and 1.11 WHIP while striking out 76 batters over 78.2 innings. He went 3-6 with three saves in his 69 relief appearances. Warren throws a fastball that sits in the low 90s, a slider, a changeup, and a curveball. This will be the 27-year-old’s first career start against the O’s, but they have given him fits in his relief appearances. In 10 appearances against the Birds, Warren is 1-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 2.09 WHIP, and he’s struck out eight batters over 11 innings. The O’s recorded two of their 10 walk-off wins last season off Warren.

Good News: Adam Jones is 3-for-6, J.J. Hardy is 3-for-5, Davis is 2-for-4, Machado is 3-for-4, Ryan Lavarnway is 1-for-3, Paredes is 1-for-1, and Professional Hitter Steve Pearce is 1-for-1 off Warren. Gardner is 5-for-22, Ellsbury is 5-for-19, Teixeira is 1-for-15, McCann is 2-for-11 with a HR, Drew is 1-for-7 with a HR, Rodriguez is 1-for-8, Chase Headley is 0-for-6, Gregorius is 0-for-5, and Garrett Jones is 0-for-3 off Gonzalez.

Bad News: De Aza is 1-for-5, Lough is 0-for-2, Delmon Young is 0-for-2, and Ryan Flaherty is 0-for-1 off Warren. Chris Young is 2-for-7, and Beltran is 4-for-6 with a HR off Gonzalez. De Aza is in a 4-for-33 slump.

Saturday, May 9 at 1:05 p.m. on MASN & WJZ
LHP Wei-Yin Chen (0-1) vs. RHP Chase Whitley (1-0)
Chen’s Stats: 5 GS, 28.2 IP, 20 Ks, 2.83 WHIP, 1.15 WHIP
Whitley’s Stats: 2 GS, 12 IP, 11 Ks, 0.75 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

Chen pitched well in his last outing, taking a no-decision after holding the Rays to two runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings. If Chen wants to replicate that performance against the Yankees, he’ll have to keep the ball in the park. Chen’s pitched 57.1 innings against New York in his career, and he’s given up 12 home runs. That ain’t cutting it, babes. In 10 career starts against the Yankees, Chen is 2-4 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. In five starts at Yankee Stadium, Chen is 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. It was more of the same for Chen last season, as he went 1-1 in two starts against New York with a 4.91 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Chen turned in a real nice effort against the Yankees on April 13, getting no-decisioned after holding them to two runs on four hits and a walk while striking out four over six innings. Unfortunately, the O’s would go on to lose that game, 6-5.

Whitley’s off to a great start this season, giving up only one run in his first 12 innings and pitching seven shutout innings against Toronto in his last outing. Last season, Whitley made 12 starts and 12 relief appearances for the Yankees. He went 4-3 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.48 WHIP while striking out 60 batters over 75.2 innings. The 25-year-old is a soft thrower that relies on his slider and changeup. Whitley’s only thrown his fastball 41% of the time this season and 44.5% of the time for his career. Whitley’s made one career start (three appearances) against the Birds, and he’s gone 0-1 with a 14.29 ERA and 2.82 WHIP. He’s given up a whopping 13 hits over 5.2 innings. His lone start against the O’s was on July 13, and he took the loss in a rain-shortened game after giving up three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four over 3.2 innings.

Good News: Davis is 2-for-3 with a HR, Hardy is 1-for-2, Joseph is 1-for-2, Machado is 1-for-2, Flaherty is 1-for-1, and Lough is 1-for-1 off Whitley. Rodriguez is 3-for-16 with a HR, Beltran is 1-for-6, McCann is 0-for-6, and Gregorius is 0-for-2 off Chen. Adam Jones leads the AL with a .382 batting average.

Bad News: Adam Jones is 1-for-4, Pearce is 0-for-3, and Paredes is 0-for-1 off Whitley. Gardner is 5-for-15 with a HR, Ellsbury is 7-for-16, Teixeira is 3-for-11 with a HR, Drew is 3-for-10, Chris Young is 1-for-6 with a HR, Headley is 1-for-3, and Jose Pirela is 2-for-2 off Chen. Ellsbury is first in the AL with 11 steals and 2nd in the AL with a .355 batting average. Davis is tied for the 2nd most strikeouts in the MLB with 40.

Sunday, May 10 at 1:05 p.m. on MASN & MLBN
RHP Bud Norris (1-3) vs. RHP Michael Pineda (4-0)
Norris’ Stats: 5 GS, 24 IP, 16 Ks, 9.75 ERA, 1.75 WHIP
Pineda’s Stats: 6 GS, 39.1 IP, 38 Ks, 2.97 ERA, 1.04 WHIP

Norris had one bad inning in his last start against the Mets, and that was all it took to saddle him with the loss. Norris gave up three runs (all in the 4th) on seven hits and a walk while striking out four over seven innings. Norris will look for his third straight quality start against an opponent that he’s loved facing over his career. In five starts against the Yankees, Norris is 4-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, and he’s struck out 35 batters over 28 innings. In two starts at Yankee Stadium, he’s gone 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP while striking out 13 batters over 11 innings. Four of Norris’ five career starts against the Yankees came last season, with his fifth start taking place on April 15. Norris was no-decisioned after giving up three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out seven over five innings. The O’s would go on to win, 7-5.

Pineda has been dealing this season, and he’s coming off his best performance yet. In his last start, Pineda earned the win after pitching eight shutout innings against Toronto. He gave up five hits and a walk while striking out six. Pineda has been terrific at limiting walks and home runs, as he’s given up just three walks and two homers over 39.1 innings. Pineda’s best pitches are his low 90s fastball and his slider, and he’ll also mix in a changeup to keep hitters off-balance. In five career starts against the Birds, Pineda is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, and he’s struck out 34 batters over 31.2 innings. Last season, Pineda went 1-0 in two starts against the O’s with a 0.73 ERA and 0.32 WHIP while striking out 12 batters over 12.1 innings. The Birds knocked around the 26-year-old back on April 13, but Pineda was still able to record the win. He gave up five runs on nine hits and no walks while striking out nine over 6.1 innings.

Good News: Adam Jones is 5-for-14 with a HR, De Aza is 3-for-9, Hardy is 4-for-8 with 2 HRs, and Machado is 2-for-3 off Pineda. Ellsbury is 3-for-16, Chris Young is 2-for-16, Gardner is 2-for-10, and Teixeira is 2-for-11 with a HR off Norris. In Adam Jones’ first three games against the Yankees this season, he hit .455/.462/1.000 with 2 HRs, 4 RBIs, and 4 runs scored.

Bad News: Snider is 0-for-9, Davis is 1-for-8 with a HR, Pearce is 1-for-5, Delmon Young is 0-for-5, Joseph is 1-for-4, and Flaherty is 0-for-3 off Pineda. Beltran is 10-for-29, Garrett Jones is 7-for-26 with a HR, Drew is 7-for-21 with a HR, Headley is 7-for-19 with 2 HRs, McCann is 2-for-8 with a HR, Gregorius is 1-for-2, and Rodriguez is 2-for-2 with a HR off Norris.

Enjoy the games, and let’s go O’s!

cover pic: Fansided
stats: Baseball-Reference

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