Laurel Park Gets Serious Saturday With Four Stakes Races. And We Are Longshot Hunting.

Sports and Bets — August 22, 2015 at 12:11 am by

Laurel Park has been doing the right thing and running the ponies live this summer.  The cards haven’t been exactly star-studded, but that doesn’t matter at this particular moment.  What matters is getting the sport turned in the right direction, and running horses in nice weather, instead of in the dead of winter, is a step in that direction. Laurel is a fun track and this summer meet is a good time.  Granted, Saratoga is the premiere meet of the year and the horseracing world will forever turn its eyes to Upstate New York for seven weeks beginning annually in late July, but having live racing to bet on while tracking Saratoga on simulcast  is a good thing- a very good thing.  Laurel is right being open and running now.

lp

And that’s exactly what we’ll be doing on Saturday, betting Laurel and Saratoga.. Laurel has four stakes races on the turf and it’s Alabama day at Saratoga.  We’ve got a bunch of longshots on our radar for both tracks- this is a bombs away racing day.  So if you possess a weak stomach and can’t handle hammering 12-1 shots on a sunny August day, well then these plays probably aren’t for you.  But just remember, when playing a lot of longshots, it only takes one to make a very lucrative day.

We begin at on our home turf, Laurel.  We’ve got our picks for the four stakes affairs here and then I’ll throw three Saratoga longshot plays at you too. Let’s go get ’em….

Laurel Park:

Race 5: Mister Diz 60K:  Ben’s Cat has won this race five straight times, and he’ll probably win it again today. But I sure as hell can’t bet him at 1/5 morning line odds.  Yes, he’ll be on all multi-race tickets, but for the win bet, twenty cents on my dollar isn’t worth it.  (And does anybody else wonder why the hell this incredible horse isn’t shipped up to Saratoga to compete with the big boys?  Ben’s Cat can definitely win up there.  It’s perplexing.)  Besides, we’re longshot hunting. Sure the rest of this field is a mess, but to find value we gotta dig deep.  We’ll go with #5 Jack’s In The Deck.  This six year old has only raced 18 times, and the last time he raced off a short layoff he popped a career best 95 Beyer en route to a win in an OC at Laurel.  Work on August 15 is encouraging. His only grass attempt he faded on the lead.  But he goes shorter here and maybe he’ll track Wire Funds and make get first run like his overall form suggests he prefers.  Putting in exacta with Ben’s Cat  Also putting Ben’s Cat and Wire Funds in an exacta for defensive purposes. Risky.

bens

Race 6: Jameela 60K:  In this 6 furlong lawn affair, the #12 Everything Lovely and the #2 Miss Bullistic are the favorites.  If I can get Miss Bullistic at 5-1, she may be the play, but that isn’t happening.   The #10 Charm City will be a price and she’s a bit interesting to boot.  In nine Laurel turf starts she’s finished first three times and second three times.  She likes the course.  She’s raced just twice this year, her last being a nice win in a turf sprint off of a short layoff.  In that win she threw a career best speed figure. Se hadn’t been on turf since October of last and maybe that’s what she’s wanted most all along.  At 10-1, I’m willing to bet that she can move forward off her last.  Sometimes five year olds suddenly get it, especially on turf, and Eppler and Karamanos know a thing or two about winning locally.  Throw the three aforementioned in exactas too and hope that there’s pace up front for Charm City to run into.  Besides, with a name like that, don’t I have to bet her?

Race 8: All Brandy 60K:  I don’t believe in the favorite Joy, and Vielsalm will be too short a price for a horse that hasn’t won since winning this race last year.  So we’ll look to another who ran in this last year, the #3 Debbie’s Tude.  Debbie’ Tude finished just 2.5 lengths behind Vielsalm that day and then they campaigned Deb into December with crappy results.  But she got a well deserved break and came back with a decent showing on July 29th.  She faded, but she needed the race and the quick work since means a move forward is possible.  Plus she’s only had that one race at four and the 78 Beyer looked good.  Can handle the distance and like that she’ll be forwardly placed throughout. 10-1 adds to the appeal. Betting on a move forward.   Here’s Debbie’s Tude winning at Delaware Park last year……

debbie's tude

Race 10: The Find 60K: If Roadhog runs here I’ll play him at 4-1 or better.   Gonna try and beat Talk Show man whether the Hog runs here or at Penn.  If the vet moves north to run, we’ll take the #7 Phlash Phelps.  Two impressive scores in a very short career.  Now he gets the acid test.  Another 10-1 shot and connects hitting at a 36% clip.  Real. Interesting. Horse.  Exactas with the favorites.

Saratoga:

Race 7: #9 Sandy’s Slew  (8-1)- Consistent and versatile runner offers value in this competitive turf sprint.  Will need best.

Race 9:  #8 Perfect Title (20-1)- Absolutely ran like a cheetah in the lane in his last.  Last to first in that one in a visually impressive performance- he ran into a soft pace on a track that had been favoring runner on or near the front end of things.  New connections and switch to turf have awakened this one.  Moves up in class to a salty OC, but if he runs late like last time, he’ll have a say in the matter.  Exacta love, win and place betting.

Race 10:  The Alabama-  #3 Lovely Maria-  Looking for her to bounce back for this.  In the Form, trainer Larry Jones said she may have had a virus in the Delaware Oaks.  Training lights out for this and she can stalk what should be a quick pace.  5-1.  Love Lovely, babes.

 

This post sponsored by the good folks at Lee’s Landing Dock Bar.  Didn’t know that one of Maryland’s waterfront bars is on the Susquehanna River?  Now you do.  This place is a must see.  Click on their ad at the top of the page….

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cover: theracingbiz

 

 

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