Laurel Park A Good Bet On Saturday

Sports and Bets — December 12, 2014 at 11:54 pm by

With only one college football game on tap and with the weather forecasted to be partly sunny and a balmy 46 on Saturday, it looks like a damn good day to sneak on down to Laurel Park for some pony wagering.  Laurel is running live and there’s a few stakes races running down at Gulfstream Park in Florida that you can bet simulcast.  (Gulfstream opened their famed winter meet up last weekend.)  So unless you’ve got tickets to the awesome spectacle that will be the Army/Navy game at the Big Crabcake, Laurel’s your Saturday live sports location.

Truth be told, the card at Laurel won’t blow you away, but that doesn’t mean their isn’t money to be made.  Longshots hit the wire in the lower-level races just like they do on big racing days.  We, as always, will look for longshots in most races.  It’s a big risk/reward endeavor, but somebody’s gotta do it.

Of note to Maryland Horseracing fans, local million dollar winner and semi-celebrity, Eighttofasttocatch, retired from racing after destroying the field in the Jennings Handicap last week.  It was the fourth time that the eight year old gelding had won the race.  Eighttofasttocatch also won the Maryland Million Classic for the third time this year.  While he has never won a graded stakes, a millionaire is a millionaire, and Eighttofsttocatch will go down in history as a Maryland great. (They are having a retirement ceremony for Eighttofasttocatch after the fourth race of this very card we are wagering on today.)  Here’s the Jennings win last week with a great call from Dave Rodman.

So here’s a few from Laurel for Saturday, December 13th.  As always, take these for what you will.

Laurel Park

Race 1- MaidenCLM 8K–  This is the lowest level of racing at Laurel. Period.  In the claim game, anybody can buy any one of the horses entered in any claiming race.  That means in this contest, you can buy a horse that has never won for 8 grand.  Not that you’d want to, babes.  In this maiden affair we’ve got a mess of bad horses, level droppers, and ponies that aren’t very good at racing.  So why not bet on one that offers some value .  If all the horses stink, why ever bet a favorite.? We’ll go with the #7 Gay Duchess.  Trainer, Jose Corrales does okay in the maiden claiming ranks, and at 5-1, this filly offers at least some value over the other formerly protected level droppers.  Gay Duchess gets Trevor McCarthy on board and she’s got a decent work tab.  The higher the odds the bigger the bet.

Race 3-  MaidenCLM 16K– We skipped race two because we didn’t like it, and here we are going to build a weak case for a longshot in another low-level maiden claimer.  Like we said earlier, it’s highly doubtful we see any of these ponies in the Breeder’s Cup, but that certainly doesn’t mean you can’t wager on them today.  The #7 Dr. Bolt offers 8-1 odds.  He’s dropping down a bit from a higher level claim and he’s getting blinkers for this.  He also made up five lengths on the leaders down the stretch in his last.  Maybe that means something.  Maybe it doesn’t. Either way, I’ll take a stab.

bolt

Race 5- CLM7500-  After skipping race 4 we land here. Is it weird that we like the #7 horse in every race we want to bet so far?  Probably.  But regardless of superstition and lucky numbers, we like the #7 Big Boomer here.  He’s not a longshot- he’s 7-2- and he may not get the pace up front that he needs to win. But I like the way he thundered down the lane to narrowly miss in his last and I like that both of his career wins were at today’s distance.  Proceed cautiously.

Race 6-ALWs–  The #6 Next Best Thing is a solid favorite here and could be a single if you’re playing the pick 4 or five.  Great form, loves the seven furlong distance and likes racing at Laurel.

Race 7- ALW N1X- Call me a lunatic, but I’m taking a longshot bomb with the #1 Hurricane Creek.  Five year old has won five times, but been blasted of late when trying to get into the protected allowance game.  But those allowance tries were on turf and now he’s back on the dirt and popping 73 Beyers in low claimers.  Trainer King Leatherbury has moved him back up to the protected ranks and back in 2013 he ran well at this level on the dirt.  He may not win, but his last Beyer fig puts him with this group.  Worth an underneath look in exactas with the favorites.  If you got stones and want to gamble – bet him to win.

Race 8 ALW N1X– We promised longshots, and we’ll stick by our high risk/high reward philosophy here.  Besides, I’d rather watch Lifetime movies for three days straight than bet a 3-5 favorite. The #8 Drive is a Graham Motion trained son of A.P Indy who broke his maiden by DQ last out.  Tough to beat winners first time out, but this colts’ classy, the connects are solid, and the 3-5 favorite in this race in just not bettable because he’s 3-5 and because he looks a bit vulnerable.  Taking a shot at 6-1.

Race 9- As always, I’m on the road after the featured race.  You’re on your own, babes.

Spot Plays at Gulfstream

mw

Race 2-  #19 Lil Miss Sure Shot

Race 4- #2 Time’s Concern

Race 8- #7 Mshawish

Race 9. #7 Valid

Good Luck!

 

cover pic: horseracingnation

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