How This Year’s NFL Rookies Will Impact Fantasy Football

Sports and Bets — May 27, 2015 at 10:17 pm by

I know, I’m sick. Thinking about fantasy football in May is a tad ludicrous, but who cares? The NFL draft is over and now I have to turn my attention to something else football related to fill up the little free time that I have

This isn’t a straight rookie ranking, but rather just a tier ranking. I’ve put the relevant rookies into four tiers, and each tier represents whereabouts these new NFL players should be drafted in your fantasy draft. The first tier consists of players that should be drafted in the first 1/3 of the draft. These players will be impactful right out of the gate, and will be immediate starters for your fantasy team. The second tier includes players that will start going around the 6-10 round range. These players will have immediate roles, but will not be the number one option at their positions.
The Third tier is made up of draft-able players that you should stash on your roster.  These are players to monitor. Hopefully, as the season continues, these players start finding bigger roles. Finally, the fourth tier is filled with players that bear monitoring, but on the waiver wire. Fourth tier players shouldn’t be drafted unless your league has enormous roster sizes of 18-20-plus players.

Top Tier:
Melvin Gordon-San Diego:  Melvin Gordon will step right into a starting role on a good offense. He should see 20 touches a game with only Brandon Oliver and Donald Brown to fend off. I will start looking at drafting Gordon in the late second round to early third.

gordon

Nelson Agholar-Philadelphia: I fully expect Agholar to step into Jeremy Maclin’s role as the deep threat in Chip Kelly’s offense. I see 70 catches and 1000 yards this season. I will start thinking about taking him in the late fifth round.
Todd Gurley-St.Louis: Gurley to me will have a tougher time securing the lion-share of carries with Tre Mason and Benny Cunningham still around. Coach Jeff Fisher likes the fact that he now has three capable backs, and will keep all the three heavily involved. I won’t be the one who takes Gurley early, but someone will. I wouldn’t take him until maybe the fifth round.
Tevin Coleman-Atlanta: Coleman is a candidate for tier one, but it’s too early to tell for sure. This is a training camp battle that the fantasy world should be very interested in between DeVante Freeman and Coleman in Atlanta. New coach Dan Quinn is a defensive guy, therefore he will want to protect that defense with a strong running game. If Coleman wins the job, and we should know come draft time, I could see him going late four early five.
Kevin White-Chicago: White will have every opportunity to put up the same type of production that Brandon Marshall did. With Adam Gase as the new offensive coordinator, Cutler will certainly be slinging the ball around the yard, and White should easily top 1000 yards. I see late fifth to early six for White.

gordon white

Second Tier:

David Johnson-Arizona: It’s too soon to say sleeper, but I love this guy’s chance to make a huge fantasy splash this year. Incumbent back Andre Ellington is small, and injury prone. I can see Johnson getting 12-15 carries a game, plus goal line work for Bruce Arians.
Amari Cooper-Oakland: I held Cooper out of tier one because while the Raider passing game is ascending, it’s not quite there yet. He will, however, have every opportunity to put up decent numbers this year. I would start to look his way around the seventh round, but somebody will probably take him sooner.

gordon coop

Jameis Winston-Tampa Bay: This one I feel you can take to the bank. Winston will be an afterthought come draft day, but he will be a great platoon starter if you wait on a quarterback. Simply pair him up with a Phillip Rivers or an Eli Manning, and you will get good production out of him. He has Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, and Austin Sephrian-Jenkins to throw fade and jump balls to fifteen times a game.
TJ Yeldon-Jacksonville: Yeldon will get the between the tackles and goal line work for the Jags in a platoon with Denard Robinson. I think the Jags will be better this year, and therefore those opportunities should be there for Yeldon.
Ameer Abdullah-Detroit: The former Cornhusker landed in a great spot as the complement to Joique Bell in Detroit. He only has to beat out Theo Riddick to guarantee himself ten plus touches a game. The middle rounds is when you start looking his direction.
Maxx Williams-Baltimore: Can’t believe I’m divulging these secrets! Williams will push double digit touchdowns this season.

gordon maxx

Third Tier

DGB-Tennessee: I was burned by the potential of Justin Hunter last year, therefore I will not go over drafting DGB. I see a Kenny Britt like career for him, which makes him worth drafting, just wait until the teens to do it.
Marcus Mariota-Tennessee: Mariota does not have the weapons that Winston has. Therefore, I only see him as a draft and stash kind of fantasy option at this point.

gordon mrcus

Justin Hardy-Atlanta: With the departure of Harry Douglas, and the frailty of both Julio and Roddy, I see a lot of action this year for Hardy. He will see slot work, and get a decent amount of targets. I will be targeting Hardy in the early teens.
Jaelen Strong-Houston: Obviously, teams saw something that scared them about Strong, causing him to slip to the third round of the draft. I don’t see the problem, and I think he will excel in the NFL. The only problem is that in Houston, Hopkins can’t garner the attention of a true number one receiver, therefore Strong will see more coverage on the opposite side then a normal number two.
Phillip Dorsett-Indy: Dorsett is a luxury in Indy, plain and simple. They had so many other needs, but chose to get that new sports car to ride only on Sundays. He will make big plays, but his opportunities will be numbered. It will be like trying to predict Eddie Royal the past two years- impossible.
Breshad Perriman-Baltimore: Perriman will have every opportunity to make big plays in this Marc Trestman offense. Will he do it consistently enough to rely on week in and week out in fantasy?
David Cobb-Tennessee: Cobb has the makeup of an every down back in the NFL. He has Bishop Sankey and Shonn Greene to climb past for the bulk of the carries, but that’s not exactly Mt. Everest. I have him starting by mid November, and so I’ll look to take him around the 13-15 round.
Jay Ajayi-Miami: I imagine Ajayi fell as far in the draft as he did because his knee is fragile. Otherwise, his situation is about as ideal as possible with only Lamar Miller ahead of him. He is worth rostering and hoping.
DeVante Parker-Miami: Parker will make an impact this year, but he also has multiple hurdles to leapfrog before getting some serious targets. I may be a bit conservative here, but I’m waiting until late on Parker.
Duke Johnson-Cleveland: The ever long revolving door that is the Browns running back job will continue this year. Talented rookie Johnson will have Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West to fight for carries with.

gordon duke

Fourth Tier
Devin Smith-NYJ: I like Smith, but with Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker, and Jeremy Kurley all there, that’s a lot of mouths to feed.
Devin Funchess-Carolina: I’ll never get Panthers GM, Dave Gettleman. He reached early in the second round to take a clone of their first round receiver last year. Devin Funchess is a less talented Kelvin Benjamin- guess they don’t value speed at the receiver position.

gordon funch

Clive Walford-Oakland: I liked Walford in the draft, and I can see him really developing later in the year.
Tyler Lockett-Seattle: Highly doubt I’ll roster any Seattle receiver.
Chris Conley-KC: Conley is lucky, he went to the Chiefs where wide receivers go to die.
Sammie Coates-Pittsburgh: I was pissed when the Steelers snagged him. It will take some time, but Coates will earn targets by December.
Matt Jones-Washington: Jones is a player I will monitor closely, as there isn’t much depth behind Alfred Morris.
Jeremy Langford-Chicago: Matt Forte has to break down sometime. Will it be Ka’Deem Carey or Langford who benefits?
Buck Allen-Baltimore: I don’t see much more than a dip of the toes this year for Allen, with Forsett and Tags ahead of him.

gordon buck

Mike Davis-San Francisco: Another body to watch at running back for the Niners. But Carlos Hyde should have this job sewn up.
Josh Robinson-Indy: This could be a nice December waiver wire pickup as he learns the offense.
Jamison Crowder-Washington: Another player to watch, as he is a better football player than athlete- which caused him to drop in the draft. This kid can play, and he will find his way into earning targets.

cover: thevictorylap

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