Fantasy Football Thoughts Through Week Four

Featured, Sports and Bets — October 1, 2014 at 8:51 pm by

by Babes

With one quarter of the season in the books, enough time has passed on the season to make accurate judgements.  Judgements like, the Patriots absolutely suck on offense, or judgements like, Andrew Luck has officially become the poster boy for fantasy quarterbacks.  Or judgements about the fact that through one quarter of the season, the consensus first twelve overall fantasy picks have disappointed more than any first round picks that I have ever seen.
Starting with the quarterbacks, this next line is astounding.  Tom Brady only slightly edges Austin Davis out for the 26th ranked fantasy quarterback.  Not only has Brady stunk up the joint for himself, he is bringing down every other Pats skill position with him.  Cam Newton isn’t much better, as he is a meager 24th in the fantasy rankings.  Bet you didn’t realize that Eli Manning is slightly ahead of Drew Brees for the seventh best QB spot.  Guess who comes in just outside the top ten?  That’s right our own Joe Flacco, is he really becoming fantasy relevant? Andrew Luck is the one blowing everyone away right now; he’s tossed a league high 13 touchdown passes, and added another score on the ground.  Luck leads the next closest QB by over twenty points.  Matt Ryan, Phillip Rivers, and Jay Cutler round out the rest of the top four.  Aaron Rodgers comes in at five, and Peyton Manning, although he has already had his bye, is near the top as well.  Manning is averaging over 22 points a game thus far.  What does all this tell us about the QB position in 2014?  My take is, hopefully you waited until the middle rounds to take one of the perceived back half of the top twelve signal callers.

charles luck
At running back, it’s been the DeMarco Murray show so far.  Murray has out rushed the nearest back to him by over 150 yards, and has two more rushing touchdowns than anyone else.  A fringe first round pick, the knock on Murray has always been his durability.  If he is able to stay healthy, he will threaten 2000 yards.  The second best fantasy back this season is LeVeon Bell.  Through three games he led the NFL in total yards from scrimmage, although he has only scored once.  The real story though at running back has been the ineffectiveness of the consensus top six backs.  LeSean McCoy hasn’t even cracked the top twenty backs in rushing, and has mustered a lowly 39 yards in his last two games.  We all know about AP and his troubles.  Jamaal Charles finally came to life Monday night with his first good game.  Matt Forte has been decent thus far, but hardly top five pick worthy.  Eddie Lacy and Montee Ball have severely underwhelmed so far as backs who should be reaping the benefits of playing in high powered passing offenses.
Some pleasant surprises for running backs so far include Knile Davis, who ranks fourth in the league in rushing despite playing behind Charles.  Lamar Miller and Chris Ivory have both averaged nearly 70 yards a game on the ground as late middle round backs.  If you were lucky enough to win the Matt Asiata sweepstakes, then you’re definitely enjoying his performance thus far with four end zone trips.

charles asiata
Some other disappointing performances so far in 2014 for running backs include both Detroit backs, Reggie Bush and Joique Bell.  Neither have been anything special.  Same goes with the Saints’ and Pats’ backs.  Nobody has really established themselves as a reliable starter every week for those teams.  Then you have backfields, like our own here in B-more, that will drive you insane.  You know the Ravens running game is going to produce almost every week, but you don’t know who will be the one producing.  Justin Forsett, Lorenzo Taliaferro, and Bernard Pierce have all at least once led the Ravens in rushing.

chrles forsett
What does this four week sample size tell us about the running back position in 2014?  It means it’s been a crap shoot and to me, if you avoided it in the first round, and then pounded the position with quantity during the middle rounds of your draft, you probably have a back that is producing. Meanwhile ,the guys who drafted the, “sure things”, are pounding their heads against the wall in frustration.

Tomorrow, I will break down the receiver and tight end positions.

 

cover pic:  fanduel

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