Babes Handicaps The Thursday Night NFL Opener

Featured, Sports and Bets — September 4, 2014 at 6:47 am by

by Babes

Well folks, the time has come.  Real football is here today and I am chomping at the bit to get this season started.  I love this opening Thursday night game, and I’m going heavy on it with a two team tease.

Seattle has dominated everyone in the preseason, as Russell Wilson and the first team offense have been literally unstoppable.  Of course you know the Seahawk defense will show up, and the game is in Seattle, where it’s nearly impossible for road teams to win.  However, it’s Aaron Rodgers were dealing with here, and six points is too much to spot him.

n rod

I’m teasing Green Bay up to twelve points and taking over 40.5.  Green Bay’s defense has been suspect at times, especially when dealing with running quarterbacks.  The loss of run stuffer BJ Ragi will make Marshawn Lynch’s night a bit easier, and Seattle will put up at least 24 behind an offense with its shiny toy, Percy Harvin, in the mix(for how long who knows).

n beast

But this fast paced Green Bay offense might be just what the doctor ordered against this premier pass defense.  The Packer offensive line is much stronger in pass protection on the perimeter with the return of Bryan Bulaga.  I believe Eddie Lacy will find running room, as Seattle will be forced to play in the nickel for most of the night, due to Green Bay’s “11” base personnel( 1 back, 1 TE, and 3 WR’s). The loss of Red Bryant this offseason will hamper the Seattle defense up front against the run, which actually did yield big games to Zac Stacy and Mike James last year.  So I expect the Pack to move the ball and put up at least 20 points.

In the end, I think Seattle wins the game, but it will be a very close game.  At worst I could see Seattle holding a two score lead, and Green Bay putting up a last minute score for the infamous back door cover.  I like the Pack at plus 6, but I love them at plus 12 and over the teased total.  Aaron Rodgers is too good, and he has too many weapons to be held down, even by this vaunted Seattle defense.  Remember Babes, give NFL people a year to figure things out, and they usually do.  On a side note, it will be very interesting to see how illegal contact and holding will be called in the secondary.  Maybe the officiating will dictate that Green Bay stays close in this game.  We all know ratings are better in close games.

n per

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